De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 1, 2023

Updated May 1, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has attempted 4.8 treys per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
This matchup is a hard one for field goals; opposing clubs have shot for the lowest Field Goal% in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Celtics are at home (42.6%).
The Celtics have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to increase possessions for the 76ers.
De'Anthony Melton has converted 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 10.6% more than he's converted overall this season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all stat categories.