De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 22, 2023

Updated Apr 22, 2023 6:51 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has attempted 4.8 3-point shots per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among all players in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
This matchup is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Nets have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have totaled the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (31.6).
De'Anthony Melton has made 90.5% of his foul shots over the last 15 games on the road, 10.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from his home court.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Nets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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