De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 20, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 2:36 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has attempted 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court.
De'Anthony Melton has converted 97.2% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 15.2% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while playing on the road.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.1 foul shots per game this year when the Nets have the home court advantage (29th-most in the league).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this season on the road.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a hard one for field goals; when the Nets have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 15th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (41.0%).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Nets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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