De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/17/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 17, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 9:21 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has converted 2.0 treys per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.
De'Anthony Melton has been on the court for a whopping 27.4 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 21.5 minutes per game last season.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Nets are on the road, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 25th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.1%).
The matchup vs. the Nets is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.4 foul shots per game this year (26th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has sunk 40.3% of his shot attempts from the field on his home court this year, ranking in the 24th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
De'Anthony Melton has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.7 fouls per game last year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Nets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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