De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 5:02 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has sunk 2.0 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Nets is a difficult one for scoring; their opposition have posted the 3rd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (46.3%).
De'Anthony Melton will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has sunk 40.8% of his shot attempts from the field while on his home court this year, putting him in the 25th percentile out of all players in the league.
De'Anthony Melton has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home.
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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