De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season on his home court.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a good one for threes; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (39.1%).
The Raptors have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton has made 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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