De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 1.8 three-pointers per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.
De'Anthony Melton has played a terrific 27.5 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 21.5 minutes per game last year.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a good one for three-pointers; when the Bulls are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.6).
The Bulls have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Bulls have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Bulls may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (14th-least in the league).