De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 26.3% more than he's made overall this year.
This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a mere 19.4 free throws per game when the Cavaliers are playing at home this year (least in the league).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has converted 29.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, -7.7% less than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduces player production in all stat categories.

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