De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the 76ers.
The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 26.3% more than he's made overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a measly 18.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has converted 29.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, -7.7% lower than he's made over the course of the year.
This matchup is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing clubs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (40.5).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.