De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 3:26 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 26.3% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has converted 29.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, -7.7% lower than he's made in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 14th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.5).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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