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De'Anthony Melton

De'Anthony Melton Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.7).
  • The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • De'Anthony Melton has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 26.3% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
  • The matchup against the Heat may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (26th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • De'Anthony Melton has converted 29.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, -7.7% lower than he's made overall this year.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • De'Anthony Melton will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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