De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has converted 54.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 15.0% more than he's made from three over the course of the season on the road.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. Kyrie Irving is a strong one for treys; when facing fellow starting SGs this year, they have averaged a monstrous 2.5 three-pointers per game (83rd percentile).
The Nets have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to increase plays for the 76ers.
De'Anthony Melton has made 86.9% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 12.7% more than he's made in all games this season.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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