De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 53.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's made over the course of the season.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. Jaylen Brown is a strong one for threes; when Brown is playing at home opposing starting SGs this year, they have finished with an enormous 1.9 3-pointers per game (-83 percentile).
Playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton has converted 86.9% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 12.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup vs. Boston is a difficult one for threes; when the Celtics are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (25.9%).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).