De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic · Jan 30, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 3.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season with the home court advantage.
De'Anthony Melton has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's converted overall this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The 76ers have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Magic.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a good one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted an enormous 23.2 free throws per game when playing on the road this year (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.
The Magic have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a challenging one for threes; while playing away from home, opposing starting SGs have put up the lowest three rate in the NBA this year (24.1%).

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