De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season when playing at home.
De'Anthony Melton has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 28.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games.
The 76ers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nets.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.
The Nets have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games while playing on the road (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Nets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a mere 27.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road (least in the NBA).
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Nets is a difficult one for field goals; while playing away from home, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 7th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (5.6).