De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 21, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has attempted 5.2 shots from downtown per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
De'Anthony Melton has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 30.4% more than he's put through the net overall this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The 76ers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year in their home city, which should lead to increased possessions for the Kings.
While playing at home, the Kings have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (which can also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Kings is a difficult one for field goals; while on their home court, opposing clubs have put up the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (50.2%).
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.
De'Anthony Melton will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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