De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has sunk 2.4 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 32.7% higher than he's made overall this year.
De'Anthony Melton has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year at home.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year away from their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Thunder.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Thunder have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Thunder may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted just 26.1 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

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