De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has made 3.8 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year on his home court.
De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 27.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season at home.
De'Anthony Melton has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The 76ers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Pacers.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
While playing on the road, the Pacers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted just 26.0 foul shots per game while on the road this year (6th-least in the league).
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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