De'Anthony Melton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's sunk in all games this season while at home.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, making this a good matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should increase opportunities for the 76ers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 6thbest in in the league as the home team with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA as the home team this year with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The 5th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the 76ers.
While at home, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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