De'Anthony Melton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Made 3 Point Shots

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 11, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 2.0 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.
De'Anthony Melton has played a terrific 27.1 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 21.5 minutes per game last year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Celtics is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (7.7).
De'Anthony Melton will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Celtics have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).