De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has totaled a whopping 3.4 assists per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.4 assists per game last year.
The 9th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
De'Anthony Melton should experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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