De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has tallied 3.8 assists per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
The 76ers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.
The 76ers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Hawks).
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, De'Anthony Melton registers in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.6 fouls per game on the road this year.
While at home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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