De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/5/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 5, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 3:11 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-101/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has been on the court for an impressive 27.2 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 21.5 minutes per game last year.
The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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