De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/17/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 17, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 10:27 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has totaled 2.7 assists per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.
De'Anthony Melton has been on the court for a whopping 27.4 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 21.5 minutes per game last season.
De'Anthony Melton will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance across the board.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.7 fouls per game last year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Nets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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