De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:00 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has totaled 2.7 assists per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
The Celtics have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the 76ers.
De'Anthony Melton will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Celtics have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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