De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has played a terrific 27.5 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 21.5 minutes per game last year.
The Bulls have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Bulls have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player production for all stats.

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