De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 10:11 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has compiled 2.5 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 75th percentile.
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduces player production in all stat categories.

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