De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -182 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has put up 2.5 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 75th percentile.
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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