De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has totaled 2.5 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 75th percentile.
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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