De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-152/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +126 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.5 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 75th percentile.
When playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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