De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has totaled 3.1 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's leaders in this category over this stretch of games: 78th percentile.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games.
The 76ers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nets.
De'Anthony Melton will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.
The Nets have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games while playing on the road (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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