De'Anthony Melton Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has posted 3.4 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the NBA in this category in recent games: 80th percentile.
De'Anthony Melton has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home.
The Pelicans have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (which can also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year while on their home court (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year when playing at home.

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