DeAndre Jordan Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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DeAndre Jordan

NBA · Player Props

DeAndre Jordan

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

DeAndre Jordan Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeAndre Jordan has tallied 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard over this stretch of games: 79th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

DeAndre Jordan has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Suns have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
On their home court, the Suns have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
DeAndre Jordan will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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