DeAndre Jordan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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DeAndre Jordan

NBA · Player Props

DeAndre Jordan

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

DeAndre Jordan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeAndre Jordan has sunk 73.1% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
DeAndre Jordan figures to see a spike in output in all stat categories due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

DeAndre Jordan has tallied 12.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 23rd percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the league.
In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).
Compared to last season's 51.8% rate, DeAndre Jordan's foul-shot ability has decreased this season to 37.0%.

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