DeAndre Jordan Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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NBA · Player Props

DeAndre Jordan

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

DeAndre Jordan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, DeAndre Jordan measures in the 95th percentile for shooting effectiveness when playing at home with a remarkable 63.3% rate this year.
In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's fantastic 122.3 points per game settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.
DeAndre Jordan will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

DeAndre Jordan has played 12.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Alperen Sengun is a difficult one for threes; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have converted just 24.5% of their shots from downtown (3rd percentile).
The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last year's 51.8% clip, DeAndre Jordan's free-throw performance has dropped this year to 31.1%.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Alperen Sengun has been remarkably low this year (2.7 free throw attempts per game: 23rd percentile).