DeAndre Jordan Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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DeAndre Jordan

NBA · Player Props

DeAndre Jordan

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

DeAndre Jordan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeAndre Jordan has made 87.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.9% more than he's made over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
DeAndre Jordan has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the NBA (24th percentile).
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
DeAndre Jordan will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, DeAndre Jordan slots into the 17th percentile for playing time, tallying a mere 11.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
Compared to last season's 51.8% mark, DeAndre Jordan's free-throw ability has been reduced this season to 25.0%.

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