DeAndre Jordan Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

NBA · Player Props

DeAndre Jordan

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 3:48 AM EST

Analysis

DeAndre Jordan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeAndre Jordan has successfully made 77.5% of his field goal attempts while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
DeAndre Jordan has converted 100.0% of his three-point shots when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.
DeAndre Jordan has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling.
The Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the LA Clippers are on their home court (21st-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, DeAndre Jordan slots into the 24th percentile for playing time, logging a lowly 13.4 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season.
In terms of scoring, the Nuggets's lackluster 106.7 points per game measures as the 5th-lowest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (9.7).
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).