DeAndre Jordan Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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DeAndre Jordan

NBA · Player Props

DeAndre Jordan

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

DeAndre Jordan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeAndre Jordan has made 84.6% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
The matchup against the Kings is a good one for field goals; the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 26th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (62.2%).
The Kings have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to more plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Kings have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

DeAndre Jordan has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (79th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
DeAndre Jordan has converted a lowly 38.6% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit lower than his 59.7 rate last year.

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