De'Andre Hunter Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

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De'Andre Hunter

NBA · Player Props

De'Andre Hunter

F-G · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 2:21 AM EST

Analysis

De'Andre Hunter Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Andre Hunter has posted 1.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.5 higher than he's posted overall this season on the road.
De'Andre Hunter has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

De'Andre Hunter has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hawks.
De'Andre Hunter will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player production for all stats.

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