De'Andre Hunter Points - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2023

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De'Andre Hunter

NBA · Player Props

De'Andre Hunter

F-G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 9, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

De'Andre Hunter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Andre Hunter rates in the 81st percentile for shots away from home, putting up 12.2 per game since the start of last season.
De'Andre Hunter has averaged 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 76th percentile.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

De'Andre Hunter has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.2 fouls per game last season.
The Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a challenging one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have put up the 15th-lowest FG% in the NBA since the start of last season (42.6%).
De'Andre Hunter has sunk just 56.3% of his free throws this year, quite a bit less than his 84.8 rate last year.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.8 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Magic are the visiting squad (9th-least in the league).

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