De'Andre Hunter Points - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

De'Andre Hunter

F-G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 18, 2023

Updated Apr 18, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

De'Andre Hunter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Andre Hunter has attempted 12.0 shots per game on the road this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
De'Andre Hunter has tallied 29.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (36.8%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.

Favors Under

De'Andre Hunter has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
When playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Celtics may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 0.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (14th-least in the league).
De'Andre Hunter will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens player performance for all stats.