Deandre Ayton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs New York Knicks · Mar 14, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has totaled 12.2 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's totaled overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Deandre Ayton lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year.
Deandre Ayton has been called for a lowly 2.2 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.9 fouls per game last season.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out best in in the league on their home court with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Deandre Ayton is expected to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The 3rd-slowest pace home team in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).

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