Deandre Ayton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has put up 10.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.
Deandre Ayton has played 32.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank 14thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing squads have snagged 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).
Deandre Ayton will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton ranks in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the most lethargic tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

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