Deandre Ayton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has put up 3.6 offensive boards per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
The Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to boost player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).
This year when they are at home, the other team has nabbed 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns (retaining possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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