Deandre Ayton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has compiled an impressive 3.1 offensive boards per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.6 offensive boards per game last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton will likely see a rise in production across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

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