Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2025

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 6, 2025

Updated Feb 7, 2025 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's made overall this year.
Deandre Ayton has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile.
The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a strong one; he has given up an enormous 15.5 points per game without the home court advantage when defending opposing starting Cs this year (76th percentile).
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when Sabonis is away from his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.4 free throws per game (83rd percentile).

Favors Under

In terms of shooting, the Portland Trail Blazers's poor 109.1 points per game rates 5th-fewest in the league this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Kings have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Trail Blazers.
Deandre Ayton has converted a lowly 57.6% of his free throws this year, significantly lower than his 78.3 rate last year.

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