Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2025

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 3, 2025

Updated Feb 4, 2025 1:24 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has sunk 9.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
Deandre Ayton has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 79th percentile.
The matchup against Nick Richards is a favorable one for three-point shots; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 37.1% of their three-point shots (83rd percentile).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Suns have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should reduce possessions for the Trail Blazers.
Compared to last year's 78.3% rate, Deandre Ayton's foul-shot efficiency has been reduced this year to 55.9%.
The matchup against Nick Richards is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game (17th percentile).

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