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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2025

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Deandre Ayton has made 63.6% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 5.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road.
  • Out of all players in the league, Deandre Ayton rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 29.6 minutes per game on the road this year.
  • The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a favorable one for shots from downtown; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 44.3% of their three-point shots (100th percentile).
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
  • The 6th-least up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the league this year (the Heat).
  • Deandre Ayton has successfully made 50.0% of his foul shot attempts away from his home court this year, placing him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when Adebayo is on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.7 foul shots per game (3rd percentile).

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