Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has made 63.6% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 5.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Deandre Ayton rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 29.6 minutes per game on the road this year.
The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a favorable one for shots from downtown; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 44.3% of their three-point shots (100th percentile).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the league this year (the Heat).
Deandre Ayton has successfully made 50.0% of his foul shot attempts away from his home court this year, placing him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when Adebayo is on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.7 foul shots per game (3rd percentile).

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