Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2025

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs LA Clippers · Jan 16, 2025

Updated Jan 17, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has been on the court for 29.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 77th percentile.
The matchup vs. Ivica Zubac is a positive one for three-point attempts; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.5 treys per game (80th percentile).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league while playing at home this year.
The Clippers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has converted a measly 6.3 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly less than his 7.8 mark last season.
With respect to shooting, the Portland Trail Blazers's feeble 108.4 points per game ranks 7th-weakest in the NBA this year.
Deandre Ayton has sunk just 54.5% of his foul shots this year, a significant dropoff from his 78.3 mark last year.

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