Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2025

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 9, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has sunk 58.6% of his shots from the field when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Compared to last year's 11.1% clip, Deandre Ayton's 3-point proficiency has spiked this year to 20.2%.
Deandre Ayton has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 2nd-best in in the league on the road with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year.
The showdown with Dereck Lively II places in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs scoring just 0.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Deandre Ayton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production for all stats.

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